USA Politics


It's funny that the White House feels compelled to respond to what is said and shown in a tv show that apparently hasn't been relevant for 20 years.

It's almost as if they're desperately trying to stop people from talking about the Epstein files.
 

It's funny that the White House feels compelled to respond to what is said and shown in a tv show that apparently hasn't been relevant for 20 years.

It's almost as if they're desperately trying to stop people from talking about the Epstein files.
The episode also talks about how media outlets have become afraid to criticize Trump.

I’ve noticed a generally suppressive effect Govt retaliation had on the US press. A lot of the news I read about US politics is now from UK or AU based news sites.
 

Yeah, anyone else see how this is playing out?

All Trump needs to do is give his base just enough pretzel logic to calm down. I seriously doubt Maxwell will lay any big revelations. She’ll probably say whatever she thinks will get her out of jail.
 
I wonder how Trump's dwindling fanbase would spin a Maxwell pardon to be less egregious than, say, a Hunter Biden pardon.
Don’t be surprised at the mental gymnastics at play.

It’s less about logic and more about which political tribe they associate with.

But, I am hoping for a Dem majority in at least one (if not both) congressional chambers next year. That would lame duck this administration and quell some of the madness.
 
I think the house is pretty much gone. Perhaps the only bright light for Dems in 2024 is that they minimized house losses and it actually ended up being pretty close with a couple republicans in bluer districts hanging on. Especially with Medicaid cuts and tariff stuff really kicking in by November of next year I don’t see how republicans hold the house.

The senate is a more interesting story and just like it seems to be every year it’s tough because of the map and the GOP’s rural advantage, but doable for democrats. As long as Kemp doesn’t get in (and why would he want the job?) I think Georgia is safe for Dems. I don’t think Republicans will win Michigan in an off year with Trump as president. Maine in an off year seems doable, despite Susan Collins being a formidable candidate. She says she's running but I won't be surprised if she changes her mind, at any rate I think with the right candidate it's possible. Similarly, an open seat in North Carolina makes it much more of a possibility for Democrats, especially if that lunatic who ran for governor gets in. Roy Cooper seems like an obvious choice for the Dems here but even then I would hedge my bets in NC.

Despite all of this, if everything works out for Democrats in the above states and they pull off four victories, they're still only at 50/50 with Vance as a tie breaking vote. It would still be a massive victory and basically pumps the breaks on Trump achieving anything in congress in his last two years, but a lot has to go right for that to work out. After that you're looking at longshots like Iowa and Texas, and if Democrats are winning those the Republicans might want to seriously look at getting on board with impeaching Trump because that means he seriously fucked up.
 
I think the house is pretty much gone. Perhaps the only bright light for Dems in 2024 is that they minimized house losses and it actually ended up being pretty close with a couple republicans in bluer districts hanging on. Especially with Medicaid cuts and tariff stuff really kicking in by November of next year I don’t see how republicans hold the house.

The senate is a more interesting story and just like it seems to be every year it’s tough because of the map and the GOP’s rural advantage, but doable for democrats. As long as Kemp doesn’t get in (and why would he want the job?) I think Georgia is safe for Dems. I don’t think Republicans will win Michigan in an off year with Trump as president. Maine in an off year seems doable, despite Susan Collins being a formidable candidate. She says she's running but I won't be surprised if she changes her mind, at any rate I think with the right candidate it's possible. Similarly, an open seat in North Carolina makes it much more of a possibility for Democrats, especially if that lunatic who ran for governor gets in. Roy Cooper seems like an obvious choice for the Dems here but even then I would hedge my bets in NC.

Despite all of this, if everything works out for Democrats in the above states and they pull off four victories, they're still only at 50/50 with Vance as a tie breaking vote. It would still be a massive victory and basically pumps the breaks on Trump achieving anything in congress in his last two years, but a lot has to go right for that to work out. After that you're looking at longshots like Iowa and Texas, and if Democrats are winning those the Republicans might want to seriously look at getting on board with impeaching Trump because that means he seriously fucked up.
Good analysis. My comment about hopefully both chambers was without these specifics in mind or any research on my part.

I’m actually now, that I’ve read your post and looked at the seats up for election, less optimistic than your assessment of the Dems’ chances in the senate.

The GOP would have to royally fuck up and lose a few “safe” (for them) seats for it to make a big enough difference.

Well, shit.
 
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