Do you consider so certain a video release from the LOTB? I wouldn't, honestly. I think, at this point, they'd like to close that chapter as soon as possible, and then focus attention, merch and sales on the new record.
My bet is that, given the important amount of tour time wasted because of the pandemic, 2022 will be the year of 2 Maiden legs: the first of LOTB, the second of the new album tour.
Even knowing their dates standards per year, I definitely can't see coming only a 20/25 dates leg in a full year, after 3 years since the last leg of concerts.
In 2023 Nicko will be 71. I can't see an album tour going into 2024 with him being 72, to be honest... If it will be the case, that'll be his very last, I guess.
The only big issue is:
How can you sell tickets for the new tour in a coherent and normal advance of time (let's say 5 or 6 months between the first day of tickets sale and the start of the tour) while you're still promoting/touring the LOTB machine?
TBOS tour tickets went on sale in September 2015, tour started in February 2016, 5 months later.
If they don't want to loose more time, they could think of a "quick tickets sale campaign" this time around, given the strange circumstances. I mean: LOTB tour ends in July. Album announcement right after it. Tickets go on sale right after it. Album release in September. 1st leg of the new album tour October->December 2022. 2nd leg March->June 2023. That could be a plausible scenario. They don't have much time to loose. And they rested enough, since November 2019.
I don't consider so certain a video release from LOTB tour (I hope for it), but it's a must, isn't it? - with the incredible stage design and setlist, it would be a bigger waste than no video release from AMOLAD 2006 or even SOT 1986/1987.
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I'm not sure if they could fit 2 legs in one year - yeah, they will have almost 3 years of break behind them, but the schedule is tight. The tour ends in July (*if no more dates are added) and I expect a good amount of new album promotion. But if the album is released in September, they can start the tour in October or (at the latest) in November (through the end of the year). 2nd leg in 2023 with a big summer tour of 5 months, for example.
-> 2 months for LOTB tour and 2/3 months for new album tour in 2022 would be great and a
plausible scenario. I think
40 dates per year is normal for Maiden. The later start of the tour next year takes a lot of the whole year for the band. But then again, BNW (only 9 dates) DOD (1 month) and AMOLAD (1 month) tours 2nd legs were really short.
Nicko is in great shape imo, so I'm not worried about him.
You don't have to worry about tickets sales too... especially for Maiden.
In the end, I think that they want to be a 100% sure that they can tour with the new album. That's one of the reasons why they hold the album imo (and because the LOTB tour is not over yet). The whole situation in the world really messed up their plans big time.
- The album would probably be announced along with the release of the new single (September 2022 is my guess).
That being said, I'm 90% certain we'll have a new single out by 11 months from now, before the start of LOTB 3.
You could be right. They can play it during LOTB Part 3. Here's a curious pattern:
BNW tour -
DOD tour - new song was played during the previous tour (
Give Me Ed tour): not an album tour!
AMOLAD tour -
TFF tour - new song was played during the
2010 reunion era leg: again, not an album tour!
TBOS tour -
LOTB tour - maaaaybe: not an album tour, like with the previous two examples. The scenario with LOTB3/Album #17 tours could be the same as Give Me Ed/DOD tours.
And Rod promised even more spectacular LOTB tour next year...