@Mosh (sorry, didn't want to quote giant wall of text, not that I don't appreciate your response)
It's odd. We're nine days removed from election and from what I've gathered of the transition building so far, I think the second Trump term is going to be as full of incompetence as his first term. Susie Wiles demanded to have control of access to Trump during the transition interviews in order to be Chief of Staff but apparently was blindsided by the Gaetz nomination for Attorney General. Gaetz wasn't even on the shortlist and there were supposedly serious candidates interviewing on Monday for that role.
He's going to be a lame duck President from Day 1, and while that may cause him to feel a bit more empowered within the Executive, the Legislative houses are going to have to watch their own back for their own electoral chances. The three big cabinet announcements yesterday didn't receive enough praise to make it sound like they'd want to pass, and Thune indicated they'll be interviewed in the Senate for appointment. RFK Jr's nomination for HHS Secretary I imagine will be kneecapped by the all powerful pharmaceutical lobby. As I mentioned in my previous post, I could very well be wrong and all are either confirmed by the Senate or by recess, but again, Senate wants to retain some power for themselves.
One of Trump's main economic policy points through the campaign was utilizing tariffs, but even then Republican congressmen have come out against them including Thune. Hell, even Tommy Tuberville is pushing back against them and he's one of Trump's staunchest allies in the Senate. Could Trump have dangled the tariffs out there to use as a bargaining chip for other parts of his agenda? Maybe, but as evidenced by his first term, he's just not a shrewd politician. Hell, Schumer and Pelosi had him by the pinky finger in 2017-18 and that was with them respectively down 52-48 and 241-194 in their respective houses of Congress.
I've heard some talking heads take some of these cabinet nominations as some sort of 4D chess move on Trump's part to see how loyal the Senate would be. Well, he lost his pick for Senate Majority Leader and is already getting pushback here,
sooooooooo I'm just not seeing that.
Wiles is having trouble controlling him already and it's been a week. The Senate doesn't
appear to be wanting to rubberstamping every thing that comes in front of them. The House appears to be gearing up for another Speaker fight in January once they're sworn in that might cause Johnson to come running to Democrats to bail him out yet again.
Same as it ever was.