So the Democratic race has gotten stupider again with both Deval Patrick (former Governor of Massachusetts) and Michael Bloomberg (multi-billionaire 3 term mayor of New York City) jumping in at a late stage. It's unknown if either of them will make a splash at all in the race. The upper tier of candidates remain Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, and Warren (in alphabetical order). The middle tier is currently Booker, Castro, Harris, Klobuchar, Steyer, and Yang. The "what are you still doing running for president" tier is Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Sestak, and Williamson.
I think both will end up in the middle tier to start, grabbing 2-3 points each in upcoming polls. It doesn't feel like either man has a logical path to the nomination, but a lot of that will depend on what happens after Iowa starts winnowing the field. Those 1-2 points grabbed by the middle and lower tiers each don't seem like a lot, but if they all tilt in one or two directions...well, it could become a dog fight real quick.