I mostly agree with your big post - we're going to see what happens. But the DNC is going to start tightening up the rules for the debates soon. They'll give everyone a chance to have one or two, then they will start winnowing the field pretty aggressively starting in September.We really should be seeing the frontrunners together, but the DNC isn't going to do that because they don't want to come off as if they are meddling in the process.
Yes. The first caucus will be held in February. It won’t be long (less than a month) before we have a good sense of who is going to win.Really? Isn't the presidential election in November next year?
Part of the reason Warren and Mayor Pete are doing really well recently is their approach to Trump. They don't usually attack him directly and are instead focused on delivering a message, whether it is on policy (Warren) or a new direction for the country (Mayor Pete). Trump is going to look extremely weak if he is forced into a debate on policy.I wonder, whoever ends up as the Dem candidate, what kind of campaign he/she will run. I guess it depends on how the economy is going one year from now. If that is going well, they will probably need to point at the controversial sides of Trump and hope it turns the centre voters.
There is obviously a plethora of things to criticize Trump for, but if the average swing voter doesn't feel the consequence of his trade wars and/or doesn't care that the man behaves like a spoilt child whenever he's criticized, then focusing on these things won't convince people to vote him out.