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Well, yes - but with a lot of rain, fewer of the lightning strikes will cause a fire that actually spreads. I would think a thunderstorm following a drought is more likely to cause a fire than a thunderstorm following a period of rainy weather.
 
The implications of El Nino are almost global:

l3_elnino2a.jpg


l3_elnino2b.jpg
 
As far as I know the effects of El Nino on Europe are not well understood or just haven't been studied much. I'm not an expert, on the phenomenon but it's the biggest source of internal (non-anthropogenic) climate variability. Any time I see it mentioned in a paper I want to throw the paper away. I'm a bit bored of it.
 
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