USA Politics

19 days to the election ... I am reminded of this in daily emails. Again, I feel sorry for those in states with competitive races.

I'll make a prediction

GOP takes the Senate ... though I can see it a 50-50 tie, which means that moron Biden will be casting some votes
GOP picks up 8 seats in the house, though I can see 14 which is the magic number for their biggest majority post Truman Administration
Dems will net 2 or 3 governors races. Can see it as few as 1 though as 3 Dem seats seem in trouble too (MA, IL and CO) as well.
 
Dems had a rough draw this year to begin with. Two of their strongest areas - west coast and Great Lakes - have most states with no Senate race. The races are mostly in states that were already red.
 
True, but the ones that are in tight races either kept or won their seats in the 2008 election ... then votes for things like Obamacare against the will of the states they represent. Had they been centrists/moderates, some of them would not be in the spot they are in now.
 
Most of them are pretty centrist, but the definition of centrism has changed over the last 6 years. I think it's gonna be 50-50 in the Senate. The Dems are likely to lose in the house, but I think that will bite the GOP in the ass in 2016.
 
Sure ... but on a lot of issues, it is bouncing more libertarian. Which might help Dems on social issues, but kills them on votes like Obamacare. Every ad in those states is Senator 'X' voted with Obama 90-something percent of the time. And those are being shown to be very effective. These Senators cast their lot with him and probably got elected/re-elected to start with because of the 2008 wave. Now it is their time of reckoning and most will be looking for a new job come January
 
I think that it is natural to assume that if a president campaigns on passing health care reform, and then the senator votes for health care reform, that these Senators assumed they were doing the job they were elected to do. The rules changed during the term - I'm not really upset by this, it's part of politics, convincing people to vote different ways and interpret what happened. I'm just saying I'm not blaming those Senators for doing what they could have been considered to have been elected to do.
 
They campaigned on passing good health care reform and made certain promises about it. Most of which proved to be untrue. That along with the incompetence of the roll out is why poll after poll shows Obamacare to be so unpopular 51-38 against it (RCP average) ... I imagine that is even worse in the states that are contested this year.

The other difference this year is the GOP has nominated good candidates after a rash of horrible ones, they should have already had the Senate. The Dems have nominated a few bad ones (Braley in Iowa comes to mind, turned what should have been an easy win into a probable loss) and some incumbents shooting themselves in the foot (Udall and Pryor)
 
bearfan said:
Obamacare to be so unpopular 51-38 against it
Click to expand...
Consider that a good percentage of that (20% or so) is people who think Obamacare doesn't go far enough.

bearfan said:
The other difference this year is the GOP has nominated good candidates after a rash of horrible ones, they should have already had the Senate. The Dems have nominated a few bad ones (Braley in Iowa comes to mind, turned what should have been an easy win into a probable loss) and some incumbents shooting themselves in the foot (Udall and Pryor)
Click to expand...

Seems to happen every cycle anyway. But there's a fight in some unexpected places too, like South Dakota.
 
There is a piece on Nate Silvers site that debunks the 20% quote. Most of those are baked into the favor category.

SD is not going to be contested. One poll gave the dems some hope ... but it is not going to happen. Neither is Kansas.
 
I heard that in American healthcare the protocols for deadly diseases are the same as protocols for stuff like fever (or other not deadly virus). That's ridiculous.
And that's why the stuff in Texas happened as it happened.

First it had to be proven that someone had Ebola (even if the guy said he came from Liberia), before extra measurements were taken.

:facepalm:
 
The USA hasn't had to deal with these sorts of things in quite awhile. This was a failure to recognize the strength and lethality of this disease. I'd be shocked if it happens again.
 
Ha .. idiots

The Freedom Socialist Party wants the minimum wage to be $20 an hour. However, they don't feel compelled to compensate their own workers with that kind of cash.

The party is looking for a web developer, and posted a job listing on Craigslist a week ago and Indeed.com yesterday, and it's been raising eyebrows on social media.

Although the average annual salary of a web developer in the U.S. is around $62,500, the Freedom Socialist Party only wants to pay $13 an hour, which would be $26,000 a year. Except that the party won't hire someone full-time, so their next web developer's total compensation won't even be that modest chunk of change. Perhaps they're just trying to protect their employees from the temptations of "capitalist greed."

In case it vanishes or gets amended, the entire listing is below:

click-for-a-larger-version.png
 
I can't see the words Freedom Party without thinking of the Freedom Party from Turtledove's Southern Victory series. In short - a fascist Nazi-like party that arises in the Confederacy in the 1930s, exterminates the black population of the south, and starts a futile war with the USA that leads to the subjugation of the CSA.
 
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