If NATO admitted Ukraine now, would that maybe end this tragedy or would it result in a bigger war with Russia?
Here’s my take:
Ukraine won’t be invited to NATO today or tomorrow. At best, Trump might send them some weapons or slap some additional sanctions on russia. But if the major NATO powers—those who actually hold the real military leverage—had the will to act and
meant it, the war could be over far sooner than most think.
Here’s how I see it unfolding:
- NATO invites Ukraine to join, and most importantly, sends a clear backchannel message to putin: we're serious, and we will defend Ukraine.
- putin doesn’t believe it—at first. He continues bombing civilian targets.
- But NATO follows through. They enforce a no-fly zone over Ukraine using jets, Patriot batteries, NASAMS, IRIS-T systems. Suddenly, russian planes can’t operate freely.
- putin is furious—but NATO isn’t bluffing. They tell him: withdraw from internationally recognized Ukrainian borders or we’ll start precision strikes on your front lines.
- Still, putin hesitates. He rants and tries to negotiate through backchannels, but doesn't pull back his troops.
- NATO acts. They begin bombing russian troop concentrations and logistics hubs inside Ukraine. The war is disrupted. Even now, without air superiority, the Ukrainians have nearly stalled the front lines—relying purely on courage and morale. With real air cover, they’d not only hold the line, they could push forward.
- NATO keeps the pressure on: if putin still refuses to retreat, they warn they’ll begin targeting supply lines inside russia.
- At this point, putin realizes NATO isn’t posturing. This isn’t just talk. He knows he’s losing. He also knows nuclear escalation is a suicide mission—and his inner circle knows it too. So he starts to withdraw. He tells the russian people they lost to the “Big Bad NATO,” but claims he saved russia from nuclear war or some such propaganda.
- NATO doesn’t stop there. They maintain their firm stance and eventually help Ukraine retake Crimea. The message this sends to the world—especially to places like China—is crucial: if you invade, you will be pushed back.
As for whether putin survives all this politically? That’s another question. But the key ingredient here is NATO's will. Its
realization of the power it holds—and the guts to
act, not just issue statements.
I believe this scenario is achievable—even without boots on the ground. With real air support and a steady flow of modern weapons from the West, Ukraine could do the rest.
putin and his circle are street-born thugs from the underbelly of St. Petersburg. Their mindset is to push until someone pushes back—
hard. They only back down when they’re punched in the mouth. If NATO showed real resolve, real firepower, and made it clear that the red button means instant elimination, he’d believe it.
Oh, he’d
definitely believe it. Because at that point, NATO would no longer be just “deeply concerned.” It would be a force that backs its words with real action—closing the skies, targeting russian military assets, and proving that when red lines are drawn, they actually
mean something.
Link -If anyone remembers—in 2015, a russian military jet was shot down by Turkey. And what happened? Absolutely nothing. They got smacked in the teeth and didn’t dare mess with Turkey again. That’s how bullies operate: they push until someone pushes back harder.
Sure, maybe this is a bit optimistic. But to me, that’s how you deal with someone like putin: with strength, clarity, and consequences.
