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  1. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    They will, either elsewhere on the island (Brooklyn, maybe), or by having a new owner, or when the lease on the NC expires in 2015. The point is that the financial base (fans, corporations, NYC in general) is too significant for the team to be uprooted.  If the Canadiens or Leafs were stuck in...
  2. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    They won't move.
  3. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    By the way, anyone interested in statistical analysis of hockey should check out Hockey Analytics.  They do great yearly reviews where Alan Ryder breaks down the best players, how they contributed, and his picks for each award, as well as a couple of other cool features. Just as an example...
  4. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    Well, "storylines" rarely conform to reality, because it's difficult to mangle a series of unscripted events into an arc.  Great example is from this years NBA playoffs.  Going into them, Dirk Nowitzki was widely considered to be a poor playoff performer; despite playing on a number of...
  5. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    One would think that if they "knew how to win", they would not have needed 7 games to finish off teams they outplayed. EDIT: And for the record, they lost their previous three game sevens.
  6. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    I don't think that Boston was "clearly" the better team.  Their expected goals were only slightly higher than Vancouver's; it was Thomas playing extremely well that made the difference. You say Boston won by hard work.  Fine.  But they were one goal away from being eliminated in round 1, were...
  7. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    I wouldn't be surprised if they won the Cup.  Small sample sizes.  All it takes is for one team to go on a tear.  Boston had Thomas get hot at the right moments (and they scored a lot when he played poorly, in the 3rd round).  Chicago got 11 goals out of Byfuglien, and their entire team just lit...
  8. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    I expect Ovechkin to score 50 goals.  He shot well below his career shot % last year; I think the puck just wasn't bouncing his way.  I think he'll win the Rocket Richard.
  9. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    I think Washington and Pittsburgh are the clearly superior teams in the East.  Pittsburgh's biggest problem is their goalie, and Washington's is their offence (though I would not be surprised if their key players have a bounce back year).  Regardless, I'd be surprised if either of them don't win...
  10. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    Hah.  I wish.  Most hockey commentators could use a little insight before they go spouting off drivel.  I don't know how it would work ratings-wise; I'm sure a large segment of the population would prefer hearing that "The Sedins haven't learned how to win" rather than an explanation of sample...
  11. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    But even if both goalies combine for ~0.920, which is very good, that erases most of their goal differential (I think it was +52), because Tim Thomas played 46 goals above average (0.938 vs. 0.913) in a little less than 60 games.  That would mean they'd end up with around a +15 goal differential...
  12. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    Boston's regressed, mostly because Thomas probably won't play near as well as the year previous, and they haven't brought in anyone else to make up for that.
  13. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    Playoff series are small sample sizes.  Simple luck dictates that it is very unlikely for a team to repeat.
  14. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    Well I think the whole mention of Stanley Cups is stupid, regardless.  I mean, Joe Nieuwendyk only got into the HoF because he won 3 Cups.  It should be about the player, not the teams he played on. I mean, if your argument for Osgood is "3 Cups", I don't know how you can't allow Kris Draper...
  15. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    Well, I don't think Brodeur is nearly as overrated as Osgood.  I mean, at the end of the day, Brodeur is still a legit Hall of Famer, is one of the better goalies of his generation, has been amongst the top 3 in the league several times, whereas Osgood... has been mediocre, and yet is bizarrely...
  16. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    One of the more overrated goalies in the history of the game retires.
  17. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    If the CBC brings Elliotte Friedman on to the Hotstove to fill Lebrun's spot, this will be the best thing to happen to Canadian broadcasting in a long time.
  18. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    It's ridiculous.  There's no question he's worthy.  He should've got in when he was alive, and because they failed at that, the HoF doesn't vote him in this year so as not to own up for their mistake.
  19. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    I think he's very likely to get in, along with Osgood.  The Hall prioritizes team success over individual success (albeit Recchi at least is more deserving than Nieuwendyk).  They just wouldn't make my ideal Hall. Lock I forgot from my list: Selanne.  No way he's not getting in.  It's a shame...
  20. GuineaPig

    Official Hockey discussion thread

    Was thinking some more about the most recent HOF inductees, and I decided to come up with a list of Hall of Fame players active now. Shoo-ins: Jagr, Hasek, Lidstrom, Brodeur Probables: Pronger, Datsyuk, Crosby, Ovechkin Hopefully not: Recchi, Osgood My hopes: Thornton, Iginla, Luongo
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